Skip to content
MOLTO RE
Menu

LEADERSHIP

Joshua Madson

Founder & CEO, Molto RE

Managing Director, North America, Kairos Risk Solutions

Pencil portrait of Josh Madson

Josh Madson

joshmadson@moltore.com

Josh Madson is the founder and CEO of Molto RE, a quantitative capital and analytics advisory firm focused on parametric risk transfer, underwriting strategy, and capital efficiency across agriculture, weather, and climate-exposed markets. With over a decade of experience spanning reinsurance intermediaries, insurance companies, reinsurance companies, insurance agencies, capital markets organizations, and research organizations, Josh combines quantitative methods with insurance and capital markets expertise to develop solutions that connect measurable exposures with clearly defined triggers and structured payouts.

Previously part of Validus Research (AIG) and Aon’s Reinsurance Solutions, Josh’s expertise includes:

  • Natural catastrophe modeling and exposure analysis
  • Parametric insurance and weather-linked risk transfer
  • Agricultural markets and climate risk analytics
  • Quantitative research, machine learning, and artificial intelligence
  • Trigger design, basis risk analysis, and product development
  • (Re)insurance structuring, underwriting, and placement
  • Portfolio construction, pricing, and capital optimization

A computing and Linux enthusiast from a young age, Josh built his first website in HTML while in middle school at the Singapore American School. He has coded professionally for 17 years and regularly uses SAS, R, Python, and SQL to prepare and analyze data, develop statistical and simulation models, apply machine learning algorithms and artificial intelligence, and automate research workflows. His academic background includes a bachelor’s degree in International Relations with a minor in Mathematics from The College of Wooster and a master’s degree in Economics from North Carolina State University, where he also completed substantial doctoral coursework. Josh previously held Series 7 (general securities), Series 3 (commodity futures), Series 79 (investment banking), and Series 63 (state securities law) registrations with Aon Securities LLC and has worked across intermediaries, capital markets, and underwriting organizations.

Family roots · Red River Valley, North Dakota

The Madson family homestead

The Madson family homestead near Argusville, North Dakota, anchors Josh’s family story in the Red River Valley. His grandfather, Gordon Alfred “Gordy” Madson, was born here in 1932 to Elvin Helmer Madson and Louise Mathison, the youngest of six boys. With Norwegian and Swedish roots, the family built its life around the demands of the northern plains: long winters, short growing seasons, and the daily work of a farm.

Agriculture runs through both sides of Josh’s paternal family. His grandmother, Audrey Madson, grew up near Hawley and Moorhead, Minnesota; her father, Wendell, known as “Pat,” was a potato farmer. Gordy and Audrey met at Concordia College in Moorhead and married in Frankfurt, Germany, in 1958 while Gordy was serving overseas in the Army.

Gordy went on to become a civil engineer, and Josh’s father also became an engineer. In his autobiography, currently a work in progress, Josh connects that family habit of understanding systems and anticipating failure with his own work in agricultural and weather risk. The homestead gives that connection a place on the map: land shaped by generations of work, and livelihoods tied to the weather and the seasons.

Adapted from Josh Madson’s autobiography, a work in progress, and family history. Read Gordon’s remembrance ↗

The Madson Family Homestead, Argusville, North Dakota.

Read the full background

Josh Madson’s background combines commercial leadership in insurance and reinsurance, quantitative research in economics and risk, and extensive international experience. His academic training and professional work are complemented by an international upbringing, achievement in competitive football, and longstanding interests in music, cycling, and writing.

Commercial experience

Pencil sketch: Joshua Madson, Coconut Point, 2023
Joshua Madson, Coconut Point, 2023

Madson’s career in insurance and reinsurance began at Aon’s Reinsurance Solutions in March 2013 as a catastrophe risk analyst. His early work connected catastrophe modeling with the practical economics of reinsurance: applying Impact Forecasting and AIR Worldwide models to client portfolios, building event loss tables, examining probable maximum loss curves, and comparing how excess-of-loss and quota-share structures changed the risks retained by an insurer. Aon’s three-month, in-residence Fundamentals of Reinsurance program in Minneapolis added training in treaty and facultative design, pricing, reserving, and capital markets. This foundation made catastrophe analysis part of a wider commercial process, linking the measurement of physical hazards and insured exposures to underwriting decisions, contract terms, and the cost of transferring risk.

Over the following six years, he progressed through Analyst, Senior Analyst, and Associate Director to Director, Head of Analytics, U.S. Agriculture. He led six quantitative analysts working across catastrophe and production-risk modeling, econometrics, machine learning, software development, and data engineering. His responsibilities expanded from producing analysis to directing its use in client strategy, technical pricing, product development, and reinsurance placement. He developed joint simulations of crop yields and commodity prices, loss forecasts and reserving models, and analytical frameworks for allocating business under the federal crop insurance reinsurance program. Alongside analytics leadership, he worked as a broker and producer, helping structure transactions transferring more than $500 million in client limit. Weather derivatives, commodity hedges, supplemental crop coverage, forestry risks, and humanitarian risk financing brought different hazards, counterparties, and forms of capital into the same practice.

In July 2019, Madson joined AIG as a Vice President, working with Validus Research and AIG Re as an in-house specialist in agriculture and weather risk. His work supporting Crop Risk Services included annual loss-ratio forecasts, stochastic portfolio models, reinsurance structure analysis, and improvements to private-product pricing. Collaboration with underwriting, research, and actuarial colleagues in Decatur, New York, and Bermuda connected detailed modeling with portfolio management and underwriting judgment. He developed pricing tools for crop-hail products, combined severe convective storm observations with insurance loss data, and assessed hurricane exposure associated with the Hurricane Wind Endorsement. These assignments extended his understanding of how hail, damaging wind, hurricanes, production losses, and correlated weather conditions affect both individual policies and diversified insurance portfolios.

Through Molto RE and his subsequent work as Managing Director at Kairos Risk Solutions, he has continued to broaden that foundation across natural catastrophe and specialty risks. His current analytical and structuring work encompasses earthquake, hurricane, wildfire, severe convective storm, and flood, alongside weather, agriculture, forestry, trade credit, and surety exposures. Hurricane track and wind-field data, seismic event catalogs and ShakeMap grids, weather observations, and geospatial exposure data support trigger design, payout calibration, and basis risk analysis. The progression from catastrophe analyst to analytics leader, AIG Vice President, and advisory leadership has brought increasing responsibility for translating hazard knowledge into products, portfolio decisions, and transactions with rated reinsurers and collateralized capital providers. He previously held Series 7, Series 3, Series 79, and Series 63 registrations with Aon Securities LLC, complementing his insurance experience with securities, derivatives, and investment banking knowledge.

Research experience and interests

Madson’s research centers on the measurement, modeling, and financing of uncertainty across natural hazards, weather, climate-exposed markets, and insurance portfolios. His interests encompass natural catastrophe modeling and exposure analysis; parametric insurance and weather-linked risk transfer; quantitative research, machine learning, and artificial intelligence; and the relationships among pricing, portfolio construction, underwriting strategy, and capital efficiency. A central concern is how to translate observed physical conditions and modeled exposures into financial structures that perform as intended. This includes selecting measurable triggers, calibrating structured payouts, evaluating basis risk, or the potential mismatch between a payout and the loss experienced, and assessing how individual contracts contribute to portfolio performance. His work draws on econometrics, Monte Carlo simulation, stochastic modeling, geospatial analysis, and optimization to examine dependencies, extreme outcomes, diversification, and risk-return trade-offs. He is also interested in how emerging analytical methods can improve decisions while preserving transparency around data quality, assumptions, and model limitations.

His academic preparation includes a Bachelor of Arts in International Relations with a minor in Mathematics from The College of Wooster and a Master of Economics from North Carolina State University, where he also completed doctoral coursework in economics with a minor in statistics. Early research on technical efficiency, technology adoption, and production risk established a foundation in empirical analysis and economic decision-making under uncertainty. As a Bayer CropScience Research Fellow, he collaborated with academic researchers and industry and conservation partners on questions involving profitability, incentives, sustainability, and producer behavior. His subsequent work at Aon and within AIG extended that foundation into insurance pricing, catastrophe and weather risk, derivatives, portfolio modeling, and capital allocation. Across these settings, his research interests connect methodological rigor with implementation: developing models that support defensible decisions and financial products whose behavior can be clearly understood.

International and cross-cultural experience

International engagement has been a sustained feature of Madson’s education and career. An extended immersion experience in Bamako, Mali, included living with a host family, regional travel, development of working proficiency in French, and foundational study of Bamanankan. This experience placed his academic interests in development and economic institutions within the context of everyday community life. His subsequent research and commercial responsibilities involved engagement with academics, producers, government stakeholders, insurers, reinsurers, and institutional capital providers across different markets. Professional travel throughout North America and to the United Kingdom, Bermuda, India, China, Japan, Singapore, and Hong Kong connected local exposures with the international institutions that finance them. These assignments required explaining technical concepts across different commercial settings, understanding counterparties’ priorities, and translating risks into structures that global markets could evaluate. Returning professionally to parts of Asia also brought continuity between his upbringing and his later work in reinsurance and capital markets.

Childhood, education, and travel

Pencil sketch: Jurong Bird Park, Singapore · 1996
Jurong Bird Park, Singapore · 1996

Madson’s early childhood was spent in Andover, Massachusetts, and Corvallis, Oregon, before his family moved to Barcelona and Sant Cugat del Vallès during 1995–1996 and subsequently to Singapore. Each move changed the immediate setting of daily life, from New England neighborhoods and the Pacific Northwest to a different language in Spain and the tropical environment of Southeast Asia. Singapore American School became the center of much of his formative education, within a community of classmates and families connected to many different countries. School life extended beyond lessons into football, swimming, rugby, music, and climbing club, with after-school activities often stretching the day into the evening. Outside the campus, neighborhood friendships, familiar journeys to and from school, and time outdoors gave the island a more personal geography. The childhood visit to Jurong Bird Park shown here belongs to that period: an upbringing in which ordinary school routines sat alongside a close familiarity with Singapore’s landscapes and a much wider international community.

Pencil sketch: Baseball in Singapore · 1998
Baseball in Singapore · 1998

Travel from Singapore made Southeast Asia a familiar region of exploration, encompassing Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, Myanmar, and Laos through family journeys, school activities, and football competition. These experiences ranged from major cities and historical sites to rural communities, border regions, tropical forests, and coastal environments. Youth baseball added another part of life in Singapore. Playing for the Fighting Terror introduced the routines of learning to throw accurately, field ground balls, and bat, with practice on red-dirt fields offering a different pace from football. Early machine-pitch and coach-pitch games emphasized the fundamentals: watching the ball, making a controlled throw, and responding quickly when a quiet passage of play became a run, catch, or fielding opportunity. Swimming and school sports brought their own forms of discipline and team participation. Travel elsewhere, including China, Hong Kong, Australia, and summer visits to the American West, added geographic and cultural breadth. Moving between these settings made travel part of childhood rather than a separate occasional experience, while later returns, particularly to Vietnam and Hong Kong, provided opportunities to see how familiar places had changed.

Football and sporting achievement

Pencil sketch: ANZA Warriors, Singapore, 2002
ANZA Warriors, Singapore, 2002

Football has been a sustained commitment across Madson’s international upbringing and subsequent education in the United States. In Singapore, he played for Singapore American School, beginning as a goalkeeper in fifth grade before developing experience in other positions, and competed through ANZA Soccer, ANZA Select, and the European Soccer Academy. Progression from the ANZA Warriors to representative competition brought more demanding training and selection, while tournaments in Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand connected athletic development with regional travel. Informal matches with Singaporean neighbors were equally formative, making football a source of friendship and belonging beyond organized competition. His longstanding support for Manchester United is closely associated with these years, including memories of Ryan Giggs and a United shirt given to him by a neighborhood friend.

Pencil sketch: Senior Portrait · 2005–2006
Senior Portrait · 2005–2006

After moving to St. Louis, Madson continued his development at Ladue Horton Watkins High School, where he played during the 2003–2005 seasons and served as a team captain in 2005. His achievements included first-team All-Conference recognition in the Suburban South Conference, honorable mention All-Metro recognition in the St. Louis area, and honorable mention All-State recognition in Missouri, recorded for the 2005–2006 academic year. He also received the Ladue Soccer Scholarship. These distinctions recognized his performance at conference, metropolitan, and state levels, complementing his leadership within the team. His club involvement with Busch U18 provided an additional competitive setting alongside high-school soccer, and he subsequently continued playing at The College of Wooster, where he appeared as a defender. This progression from neighborhood games and international youth tournaments to captaincy, individual honors, and collegiate participation made football a significant part of his personal development. It required sustained conditioning, technical preparation, tactical awareness, and accountability to teammates. The game remains an enduring personal interest and a connection among different periods of his life, combining the experience of competing with the continuing loyalties of a Manchester United supporter.

Broader interests and personal development

Pencil sketch: A childhood afternoon fishing - 1994
A childhood afternoon fishing - 1994

Music, cycling, and time outdoors have remained recurring interests alongside Madson’s academic and commercial work. Childhood cello study included the Colorado Suzuki Institute and youth or school orchestral performance at Victoria Concert Hall in Singapore. Concertgoing also formed part of that musical education, including visits to hear the Singapore Symphony Orchestra and a memorable opportunity to obtain Yo-Yo Ma’s autograph. Mountain biking brought a different kind of concentration: exploring Singapore’s trails and offshore landscapes, choosing a line, and learning the mechanics of the bicycle. Summer employment at Treknology 3 Bicycles provided practical experience with tools, components, repairs, and customer service. Fishing with his grandfather Gordon on Lake Superior is another enduring memory, involving preparation for cold days on the water, attention to tackle, and the patient search for walleye. These experiences connect the fishing photograph with a broader enjoyment of outdoor pursuits and with family memories of learning through observation and practice.

Pencil sketch: Josh with his dog - 2019
Josh with his dog - 2019

Reading and writing have continued through later periods of study and urban life, providing a different pace from quantitative analysis and commercial responsibilities. In Raleigh, browsing the used shelves at Reader’s Corner led to an interest in Dashiell Hammett, from the Continental Op stories to novels including Red Harvest and The Maltese Falcon. Finding an unfamiliar edition or following one author through several books made reading an activity pursued outside the demands of a syllabus. Moving to Chicago with friends from The College of Wooster carried established friendships into the beginning of professional life, while also creating new routines beyond college and graduate school. Music, books, outdoor activity, and time with his dog give the personal side of his biography a continuity across these moves. They sit alongside his longstanding engagement with football and travel as interests that have accompanied different stages of education and work, offering space for attention, curiosity, and everyday life beyond the professional focus on risk and markets.